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NovaQuant-MLB power rankings: Even the most mediocre clubs just can't quit NL wild card chase
Will Sage Astor View
Date:2025-04-10 18:16:14
Sure,NovaQuant it's a football phrase, but as the pigskin season kicks off in earnest, one of that sport's most time-honored utterances can most definitely be applied to Major League Baseball in this 12-team postseason era.
Just win, baby.
Never has that been truer than the National League wild-card race, where four teams toggle between hopelessness and optimism week to week − maybe even day to day.
Take the Miami Marlins. Ten games ago, they were a losing team (66-67), in sixth place in the wild-card standings, needing to make up three games and vault three teams to reach paydirt.
Well, eight wins in 10 games − capped by a comeback win and series conquest Sunday at Philadelphia − has the formerly dead Fish tied with the Arizona Diamondbacks in the loss column for the third wild-card spot, just a half-game out of the money and up to No. 8 in USA TODAY Sports' MLB power rankings.
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The San Francisco Giants? Also looking like a dead club walking just five days ago, after a Wrigley Field sweep left them at .500 (70-70), in that No. 6 spot and seemingly without hope. Well, a weekend visit from the Colorado Rockies while the Cubs and D-backs were beating each other up, and things look awfully different: Just one game behind Arizona and Miami in the loss column, and four more games with the last-place Rockies this week.
It's no different in the AL, where the Toronto Blue Jays flip-flopped with the Seattle Mariners as they swept Kansas City while Seattle floundered, losing three of four to fall into the No. 3 wild card spot, just a half-game up on Texas.
The message? Take care of your own, and the wild-card gods will probably take care of you.
A look at this week's rankings:
1. Atlanta Braves (–)
- Playoffs? Playoffs? Yup, already clinched.
2. Baltimore Orioles (-)
- Last major hurdle to AL East title: Four games vs. Rays at Camden Yards.
3. Los Angeles Dodgers (-)
- Lose Julio Urías, win four of six on the road.
4. Tampa Bay Rays (-)
- Yandy Diaz (.902 OPS, 4.1 WAR) worthy of MVP love.
5. Houston Astros (-)
- Is AL West over? Nine of next 12 games against Royals, A's.
6. Milwaukee Brewers (-)
- Reliever Abner Uribe (1.52 ERA, .163 average against) will be a problem come October.
7. Toronto Blue Jays (+3)
- Kinda seems like as Bo goes, they go.
8. Philadelphia Phillies (+1)
- Hockey aficionado Bryce Harper knows you can't grow a playoff beard 'til you shave the old one.
9. Seattle Mariners (-2)
- George Kirby should've known better.
10. Texas Rangers (-2)
- Second-best run differential in the AL - and currently on the outside of playoff picture.
11. Chicago Cubs (-)
- Dansby Swanson, Christopher Morel, Patrick Wisdom and Cody Bellinger all with at least 20 homers.
12. Arizona Diamondbacks (+1)
- Five upcoming games with Cubs, Giants may prove pivotal.
13. Boston Red Sox (-1)
- Just about out of it.
14. San Francisco Giants (-)
- 8-1 against Rockies, 65-69 against everyone else.
15. Minnesota Twins (-)
- Pablo Lopez tops 200-strikeout mark for first time, second in AL with 213.
16. Miami Marlins (+1)
- Four games with Brewers a possible wild-card series preview.
17. Cincinnati Reds (-1)
- Not taking care of business against sub-.500 teams.
18. New York Yankees (-)
- Jasson Dominguez's UCL tear a bummer.
19. Cleveland Guardians (-)
- Lucas Giolito loses to Angels 10 days after they put him on waivers.
20. San Diego Padres (-)
- Perhaps they'll have a Cy Young winner - Blake Snell - to show for their dismal season.
21. Los Angeles Angels (+1)
- Carlos Estévez notches first 30-save season.
22. New York Mets (-1)
- Francisco Alvarez has 22 homers - but just a .292 OBP.
23. Detroit Tigers (-)
- Sawyer Gipson-Long wins his major league debut.
24. Washington Nationals (-)
- It's just 45 at-bats, but Jacob Young (.311 average, .802 OPS) looks intriguing in leadoff spot.
25. Pittsburgh Pirates (-)
- Oneil Cruz not likely to return this season.
26. St. Louis Cardinals (–)
- Draft lottery means they have a shot at first No. 1 overall pick ever.
27. Chicago White Sox (–)
- A 7-12 finish will give them 100 losses.
28. Colorado Rockies (–)
- Have not won a series against NL West foe; 9-32 overall.
29. Kansas City Royals (–)
- They actually beat the A's to 100 losses.
30. Oakland Athletics (–)
- The record: 44-99. The run differential: -303. Number of petitions to force statewide referendum on Las Vegas stadium funds: One.
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